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I did not find the full text, I suppose it is behind a Stratfor paywall or for subscribers only and, frankly, I have better use for my time and money than to subscribe to that rubbish, but since the same excerpts are quoted everywhere, I might as well list them here and assume that they form the highlights of the article. Here we go taken from the Business Insider quoting and paraphrasing the original article While Russia has some advanced surface to air missile systems and very agile fighter aircraft in Syria, it wouldnt fare well in what would be a short, brutal air war against the US Russia has about 2. Su 3. 5s and Su 3. F 1. 5s, F 1. 6s, as well as B 1 and B 5. And of course the vast US Navy and pretty much hundreds of Tomahawks. Russians have a lot of air defenses, theyre not exactly defenseless by any means, Lamrani told Business Insider, But the US has very heavy air superiority. Even though individual Russian platforms come close to matching, and in some ways exceed the capability of US jets, it comes down to numbers. If US surveillance detected a mass mobilization of Russian jets in response to the back and forth, the US wouldnt just wait politely for Russians to get their planes in the sky so they can fight back. Instead, a giant salvo of cruise missiles would pour in from the USS George H. W. Bush carrier strike group, much like the April 7 strike on Syrias Sharyat air base. But this time, the missiles would have to saturate and defeat Russias missile defenses first, which they could do by sheer numbers if not using electronic attack craft. Then, after neutering Russias defenses, the ships could target the air base, not only destroying planes on the ground but also tearing up the runways, so no planes could take off. At this point US and Coalition aircraft would have free reign to pass overhead and completely devastate Russian forces. So is the author, Omar Lamrani, right in his assessmentYes and no. Yes, that is exactly what would happen if the Russians decided to engage their small number of air superiority aircraft to try to prevail over the entire CENCOM and NATO air force for the control of the Syrian skies. And no, simply because the Russians would never do that. The author of the article, a civilian with no military experience, makes a basic mistake, he assumes that the Russians will act like idiots and fight the kind of war the US would want to impose upon them. That is kind of assumptions most newbies make and which make for excellent propaganda articles. The problem is, of course, that there is absolutely no reason at all why the Russians should collaborate with such a ridiculous scenario. So, lets get back to basics here. Question 1 are the Russians in a position of weakness in SyriaYes, absolutely. And they know that too. First, the Russians are operating only 2 facilities Tartus and Khmeimim, far away from home, and the size of their task force in Syria is tiny compared to the huge amount of firepower available to the Anglo. Zionists and their allies. Bcit Pilot Program Review more. Second, the USA have poured billions of dollars into this region to make sure that the Soviet Union could never successfully invade Iran and not only do they have an immense numerical superiority over the Russians, they also have a world class network of bases where even more forces can be brought in. Syria is squeezed between CENTCOM to the south and east and NATO to the north and west while the closets Russian forces are in Crimea. The truth is that not only could the US and NATO take control of the Syrian skies, even Israel alone could probably do it. So, assuming the Russians are not suicidal imbeciles, what do you think they should do If you were Russian, how would you play your cardsQuestion 2 do the Russians have advantages of their own Absolutely. In fact, they have many advantages over the Americans. Here they are in no particular order All the boots on the ground that matter are either Russian allies or at least on good terms with Russia the Syrians, the Iranians, Hezbollah and even Turkey are all much closer to Russia than to the Anglo. Zionists. The only Anglo. Zionist boots on the ground that matter are Daesh Co. Internal public opinion in Russia, the Russian military intervention is understood and backed by a overwhelming majority of Russians. In the USA the public is clueless and profoundly skeptical of this latest US war of choice. Not only that, but Putin personally has an immense credibility with the Russian people, while Trump is barely avoiding being impeached. External public opinion while in the USA the Ziomedia is engaged in a truly heroic effort to avoid even mentioning the fact that even the US presence in, and nevermind the actual aggression against, Syria is completely illegal in terms of international law, most of the planet is quite aware of that. This only further erodes the US standing worldwide. The Russians have fewer lucrative targets to offer the Anglo. Zionists than the Americans. Simply put, the Russians have Tartus and Khmeimim. The Americans have an long list of bases and facilities in the region which all could become potential targets. The willpower, courage and determination of the Russian solider is stronger than his US counterparts by many orders of magnitude. There are many reasons for this, historical as well as political, but I dont think that anybody doubts the fact that while Americans love to kill for their country, they are much less enthusiastic about dying for it, especially when the for it part is extremely dubious and when the frontline solider feels that he is being used in some complex political game which he does not understand but where he is definitely used as cannon fodder. There is Russian personnel and military hardware interspersed within the Syrian forces. We know that Russian technical specialists, military advisors and special forces are operating on the ground in Syria. This means that the Russian can probably use a Syrian S 3. US aircraft without necessarily giving the US proof of their involvement. To use and old CIA term, the Russian can have plausible deniability. We know that Russia has a vastly superior intelligence capability in Syria as reflected in the kind of damage Russian air and missile strike inflict on their targets especially when compared to the painfully obvious lack of US understanding of whats really going on on the ground. So what does all this add up to Plausible deniability in the air. First, it is pretty darn clear that the Russians have no incentive to begin a large scale air battle in the skies of Syria with their US counterparts. However, the fact that such a battle would not be in their interest does not mean that they would necessarily avoid it either. For the time being, the Russians seem to have chose a strategy of deliberate uncertainty and harassment of the US aircraft, but they could decide to engage US aircraft using their ground based S 3. S 4. 00 batteries. Here is how they could do it. First, the Russians are the only ones in Syria with S 4. So lets set them aside for a minute and keep them for serious emergency purposes. Next, lets look at the Syrian inventory of air defenses found on Wikipedia.